For some 120 years pigeon fanciers in the UK have held long
distance races starting in France, Spain or some other European country, but
the complicated logistics imposed by Brexit may signal the end of this traditional
pastime. Since the UK left the EU pigeon owners must register with the UK’s
Department for Rural Affairs. Their pigeon lofts must be inspected annually by
a vet and the clubs of which they are members must complete export health
paperwork. A vet has to certify the
birds at the point of departure in mainland Europe and at registration points
along the course of the race. The bureaucracy and costs involved have made
races uneconomic. A club in Leeds that usually holds six or seven races a year
plans none this year.
This sad little tale is but one example of the many ways in
which Brexit has inflicted considerable cultural, educational, and social
damage on the UK. The economic consequences are proving equally harmful. The
Conservatives declare themselves to be the party of low taxes and low
regulation. Yet Brexit has entangled our trade with our largest market in
complex, onerous and costly bureaucracy and regulation, and new taxes. The website
of my former employer, Thames & Hudson, proclaims two years after Brexit “EU
shipping is temporarily suspended.” Sales to individual consumers, like the pigeons,
are too costly. This is true of many small and medium sized export businesses: shipping
to the EU has become so expensive that businesses either abandon exports or set
up distribution centres in an EU nation.
You might think that the consequences of a radical rupture
of the UK’s relationships with dozens of countries on our continent would merit
sober reflection and analysis as to whether in practice this has proved to be a
wise decision, and how to address any negative consequences. However, if you
were a candidate in the process to choose the next leader of the Conservative
Party and therefore our next Prime minister, you would avoid any comments about
Brexit that were not entirely positive, regardless of the evidence. To do
otherwise would be terminal for your career. Nor would you talk about Brexit if
you were a senior figure in the Labour Party. And if you subscribe to the
newspapers with the largest circulation, you will find little or no analysis of
the negatives of Brexit. Rather our political class seems determined to ensure
that the consequences of Brexit, like the pigeons, will not come home to roost.
My country has been ruled since 2010 by the Conservative and
Unionist Party (from 2010-2015 in coalition with the Liberal Democratic Party and
since then in sole control of the government). The Conservative Party likes to
think of itself as the party of law and order, prudent economic management and
competence, defending the country from the menace of socialism. However, since
2015 there have been three (soon four) Conservative Prime Ministers, which
would seem to indicate that something has not gone quite right and that the
party is not very adept at choosing leaders.
The first to be dethroned was David Cameron, who called a
referendum about Brexit in 2016, ran a complacent (very much his style) campaign
to remain in the EU and lost. He had underestimated the extent to which a
determined (some might say fanatical) Brexit had become a majority in his party.
His successor was Teresa May, an uncharismatic, earnest character who had a
substantial record in ministerial office as a Home Secretary who built her
reputation on hostility to immigrants. She endeavoured to solve the fundamental
conundrum of Brexit: how to carry out a political project whose consequences
are essentially damaging, without incurring damage, or at least as little as
possible. Her problem was that this involved an agreement with the EU that was
insufficiently aggressive for the Brexiters, who had formed a clique known as
the Brexit Research Group. She could not win their support, and of course the
opposition parties also rejected her attempts to resolve the conundrum. Furthermore,
she made a disastrous calculation to call a general election on the question of
concluding Brexit, but proved to be a spectacularly incompetent campaigner. She
committed the cardinal sin of losing her majority in Parliament in an election
that she did not need to call. Moreover, she was betrayed by Boris Johnson (who
had earlier betrayed David Cameron). She was forced to resign and replaced by
Johnson, who in turn has been forced to resign.
Now, a reasonable observer might conclude that a party that
has recommended a Prime Minister to the country three times on average every
2.3 years, and then itself announce that it has no confidence in the Prime
Ministers that it chose, may not be as prudent and competent as it proclaims
itself to be. Especially, after the disastrous tenure of Boris Johnson.
That observer might also reflect on some of the consequences
of Conservative rule since 2010. These include:
·
An increase in child poverty and in poverty in
general.
·
A transfer of wealth from wage earners to asset
owners.
·
A decline in the real value of waged employment.
·
A radical reduction of the real value of financial
support for the unemployed, sick and disabled.
·
An increase in the provision by charities and
other NGOs of foodbanks, a reflection of increased poverty and hunger.
·
An unusually low state pension compared to most
other European countries.
·
A reduction in the real value of spending on
health, already low by European standards.
Leaving to one side, the Johnson regime’s (not merely
Johnson himself) use of lies, unlawful acts, breaches of an international
treaty that Johnson himself signed and declared to be a political marvel, and
the stoking of division, this most recent Conservative administration has undermined
some of our most cherished freedoms:
·
An untrammelled freedom to vote: for the first
time in the history of British democracy, voters will be required to produce
photo ID. This change was made to “protect our democracy” despite the lack of
evidence of any threat to democracy in the absence of photo ID. The intent of
this measure is to deter those who vote for opposition parties from casting
their vote.
·
Ending the independence of the Electoral Commission
by giving a government minister the powers to set its objectives.
·
Restrictions on the right of protest.
·
The undermining of the BBC for being
insufficiently pro-Brexit and because its programming does not “reflect the
views of the British people.” The BBC is not a state broadcaster and is not
obliged to adhere to a particular political line, but the government funds it
and can thus intimidate the BBC. More supine coverage of government policies
and actions is already apparent.
·
Selling to the private sector the only other
national public broadcaster (Channel 4), which frequently challenges the
government line (of any government) with no requirement that the public
broadcasting element of its programming is sustained.
·
Judicial reforms to reduce the ability of
citizens to challenge government actions and policies, including a new British
Human Rights Act to remove some of the protections provided by the European
Convention of Human Rights and restricting the jurisdiction of the European
Court of Human Rights.
·
An intolerance of dissent, attacking those who
disagree with the government as remoaners/remainiacs (for refusing to believe
that Brexit = Nirvana), or as ‘woke”.
·
The government regulation of free speech in
universities. A government agency can now fine universities if it deems that
free speech has been restricted.
·
A punitive sentence for a new crime of damaging
public statues, prompted by a single incident of the removal by protesters of a
statue of a former slave owner in Bristol. This incident was the consequence of
very local conditions and circumstances, not a general trend, but the
government exploited the incident to create fear of “rewriting our history”.
·
The appointment of figures ideologically aligned
to the Johnson regime to the boards of museums and other cultural bodies and
the denial of appointments to individuals who espoused ideas and approaches not
approved by the government.
·
The abuse of independent processes to
appoint people to government agencies contrary to regulations and traditional norms
of public governance.
The removal of Johnson has not made our democracy safe.